Forecasting & Risk
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New-Home Sales Rose 6.4%. The Error Band Was ±19.5%.
A volatile housing estimate is a useful scenario input—not a reason to rewrite the base forecast.
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Housing Costs Belong in the Workforce Forecast
The Fed’s latest housing evidence turns shelter costs into a CFO planning variable for compensation, vacancies,…
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Stop Pretending the Forecast Is One Number
A single-point forecast hides the risk that leaders actually need to manage. A better approach is…
